The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on May 14 2024
Blinken visits Ukraine in show of US support as Russian attacks intensify
Kiev blame game. Kharkov debacle
Battlefield Ukraine Breaking The Ukrainian Army
Heavy fighting in Vovchansk | Blinken arrives in Kyiv [14 May 2024]
Ukraine Air Defence Crumbles Under Russia Attacks, Only 10% Of Ballistic Missiles Downed In 6 Months
Zelensky stresses need for more air defences in Kharkiv
“Ukrainians SURRENDERING like never before” & Putin hasn’t even STARTED the full invasion
Ukrainian Nationalists From The ‘KRAKEN’ Regiment Surrendered To The Russian Army In KHARKIV OBLAST
MAJOR CHANGES at KHARKIV front, Pervomaiske, Krasnohorivka, Staromaiorske – Frontline Changes Report
Russian Forces Capture Luk’yantsi | Storm of Chasiv Yar Begins | Return of Wagner
‘Nightmare For Kyiv’: Putin Gains Ground, Zelensky Grapples With Ugly Tough Choices
Our sources expressed different versions of Blinken’s arrival in Kyiv.
First version. Blinken’s task is to convince Zeh to soften Ukraine’s “peace formula” in order to attract many leaders of the countries of the global South and Asia who are now refusing to attend the upcoming summer conference in Switzerland. Arguing that there is nothing new there.
Plus, the opportunity to invite the Russian Federation to this conference under such a sauce.
Second version . Blinken’s task is to persuade Zeh to agree to a truce with the Russian Federation, starting a discussion of peace agreements. Allegedly, the goal is not to end the war, but to gain time so that the Ukrainian Armed Forces can recruit the required amount of new manpower and train them. It is important to stop the advance of the Russian Armed Forces by any means if this is not possible through military means. Until the entire defense collapsed.
In fact, the United States is concerned that the Armed Forces of Ukraine are constantly losing, which damages Biden’s image before the elections.
One thing is clear – trading has begun again.
Our source reports that the thesis that the Russians are stretching the forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine with their offensive in the Kharkov region is an excuse from the Office of the President, who throws it at the masses on purpose in order to have an excuse for their failures.
In reality, the offensive of the Russian Armed Forces has several goals, which depend on how much the Armed Forces of Ukraine will resist them.
1. Minimum task. Creation of a sanitary zone.
2. Encirclement of the Kupyan group and creation of a cauldron.
3. Gradual encirclement of Kharkov. The capture of such a city in 2024 is a symbol of victory for the Kremlin.
If the OP does not react and refuses to transfer reserves, then the Russians will be able to fulfill at least 2 of the three points, which will inflict a huge historical defeat on the Ukrainian Armed Forces.
In the Kharkov region, the enemy is advancing in several areas. The Russians took almost the entire village of Ogurtsovo and hung a flag in the center. They also gained a foothold in Gatishche and penetrated into Volchansk. The enemy is trying to gain a foothold in the industrial zone of Volchansk, as well as in a multi-story building on the eastern outskirts of the city where active fighting is taking place. They are trying to surround the city on one side. There are very difficult positional battles going on. The Ukrainian Defense Forces are defending under heavy fire, constant arrivals of KABs and assault operations.
Also in the Glubokoye area, heavy fighting continues on the approaches to Liptsy. To the south, Ukrainian Armed Forces fighters began to leave the village of Lukyantsy; the enemy used intense fire, namely air strikes using 10 KABs, on our units.
In the Bakhmut direction, the enemy storms the positions of Ukrainian defenders in the Kanal microdistrict in Chasov Yar, and also carries out attacks on the positions of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the city and its environs.
In the Avdev direction there are battles in the forest belts along the railway west of Ocheretino , as well as on the approaches to Novoaleksandrovka and Kalinovo. The Russians were able to advance quite seriously in the Semyonovka area.
In the Zaporozhye direction , after a long lull, the Orekhovsky sector began to move – there the Russian Armed Forces captured a number of positions in the Verbovoy area.
In the Kherson direction, clashes continue in the island zone north of the Cossack Camps and in Krynki.
Our source in the General Staff said that the Ukrainian Armed Forces will be forced to leave Volchansk until the end of the week, since Syrsky refused to transfer reserves from the Eastern Front and is trying to hold off the enemy with manpower and minimal equipment. The commander-in-chief considers the loss of Volchansk not a significant loss for Ukraine, which is why there is no need to spend reserves.
Now the successful offensive of the Russian Armed Forces in the Kharkov region clearly shows the unpreparedness and irresponsibility of the Ukrainian authorities, which have not stopped “lining their pockets” even for the construction of fortifications at the front. It is likely that a similar situation will be observed in other regions, where the authorities cheerfully reported on the most powerful line of defense.
The West also sees Ukraine’s problems and even predicts that the offensive of the Russian Armed Forces in the Kharkov region may increase pressure on the Ukrainian authorities to begin peace negotiations (in particular, The New York Times writes about this): “This (the offensive of the Russian Armed Forces) is possible “will increase pressure on Ukraine’s leaders to agree to a truce with Russia, which the Ukrainian authorities have so far refused to do.”
Moreover, journalists calculated that the current advance of the Russian Federation in the Kharkov region is the fastest during the entire period of hostilities in Ukraine. According to analysts, the Russian Federation decided to take advantage of the shortage of ammunition and people in the Armed Forces of Ukraine, stretching the front and thus increasing the chances of a breakthrough.
For the failure in the Kharkov fortification case, they are urgently looking for scapegoats.
If such a “goat” is not urgently found, then the Head of the Kharkov OVA, Sinegubov, may soon be removed. He’s a poor guy running around paying everyone. Orders jeans and posts in the cart.
They say that even a roof in the shape of Ermak may not help, since Andrei Borisovich always gets rid of toxic characters, even if you “contributed” large sums to the OP.
In 2022, Sinegubov defeated the head of the SBU of Kharkov and remained in power, but relaxed and could not refuse to cut budgets. Even in those days, his career hung by a thread due to theft and corruption. Then Ermak helped him. Now Ermak himself will let him go to the scaffold to whiten himself and Ze.
In fact, the fate of Sinegubov depends on whether the Ukrainian Armed Forces can use the lives of its soldiers to stop the advance of the Russian Armed Forces.
If the dynamics of the Russians continue, and the offensive continues for at least another two or three weeks, the “blue” will be removed from the post of Head of the OVA and there will be many ostentatious arrests for corruption in order to reduce indignation in society and among the military (for now, the military’s mouths have been shut, by order from above, but how long?).
Many of us know are already packing their bags and starting to make off with the dough…
Entire Kharkov affair is a major failure on Ukraine part, spending months launching cross border raids, yet seemingly never expected Russia would re-cross the state border in return, not interdiction of Russian rail and logistics on the Russian side of the border, very little defence in depth positions established, not seemingly detecting the Russian build up that was so apparent, it was openly discussed across telegram, or they did detect it, but didn’t deploy any significant assets to counter act it.
Major, major failings across many levels
🔻In the Slobozhansky direction, Russian troops are advancing towards Liptsy through the dachas. For now, the fighting is more like a reconnaissance in force. Artillery and air strikes are being carried out on the concentrated enemy forces in the village.
▪️In the area of Lukiiantsi, Russian assault teams reached the outskirts of the village and entered the settlement. It is unclear whether the village has been completely liberated or not. On the eastern flank, the Russian Armed Forces established control over Buhrovat, while fighting continues in the neighboring Staritsa.
▪️Information is circulating on the Internet about the attacking groups linking up through Zelene, but in reality this is most likely not the case, since the gap between Lukiiantsi and Zelene is an open field, and between Zelene and Ternova-Izbytske – fields and forest.
▪️In Volchansk, the enemy was pushed out of the northern part of the city, and clearing operations are underway. According to preliminary data, the territory of Lyceum No. 1 and Kindergarten No. 6 has been taken. The status of the Volchansk Aggregate Plant, where the presence of Ukrainian formations may remain, is still unclear.
▪️By mid-day, only one heavily damaged road bridge and one pedestrian bridge remained in Volchansk, so communication with the southern part of the city is still maintained.
🔶️ The Head of the Sumy Region of Northeastern Ukraine has Ordered an Immediate Evacuation for the Towns of Vorozhba and Bilopillya near the Border with the Kursk Region of Russia, due to a Significant Increase over the last 24 Hours in Cross-Border Shelling and the possibility of Russian Ground Forces soon entering the Region.
OSINTdefender
Our source in the OP said that the offensive of the Russian army in the Kharkov direction has a negative impact on the preparations for the summit in Switzerland. A number of participants from the Global South refused to come, and those who plan to attend the summit do not want to sign a tough final document.
F-16 aircraft from Denmark will be in Ukraine within a month.
This statement was made by Danish Prime Minister Frederiksen, correspondent Jörg Lau reported.
The performance of Ukrainian air defenses has decreased significantly compared to the start of the war, writes The Wall Street Journal. Now they are able to repel significantly fewer Russian attacks. Russia, on the other hand, is increasing the number of UAVs and missile attacks and using more advanced weapons, such as ballistic missiles.
Previously, the best defense against such attacks were Western-supplied Patriot systems. However, Kyiv is now running out of ammunition supplies for them. Therefore, it is not surprising that over the past six months Ukraine has intercepted only 46% of Russian missiles. Although during the previous six months this figure was 73%. And last month this figure dropped to 30%.
Moreover, over the past six months, Ukraine has managed to shoot down only 10% of the missiles fired by Russia. Moreover, in 2024 it did not intercept any of the S-300 and S-400 missiles.
According to experts, the war in the air can now come down to one thing – which side will be ahead of the enemy in the supply of missiles. But in this matter, Ukraine is completely dependent on the West. But Russia still has its own reserves. In addition, Moscow can produce up to 170 missiles monthly, which looks completely disappointing for Kyiv.
Days After Putin’s Threat To Attack UK Military, US Official Exposes British Secret Ops In Ukraine?
Maria Zakharova writes:
British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak delivered an accusatory speech today at a meeting of the Policy Exchange think tank:
“
Putin’s recklessness has brought us closer to dangerous nuclear escalation than anything since the Cuban Missile Crisis. When Putin cut off gas supplies, it had a devastating impact on people’s lives and threatened our energy security. And in this world of increasingly serious conflicts and constant danger, one hundred million people have been forced to flee their homes.”
Sunak’s lies are so desperate that one even feels sorry for him. What if this is just stupidity?
To make it clearer for Sunak, let’s break it down point by point.
First. Regarding “dangerous nuclear escalation.” It is the Kiev regime, and not anyone else, that is shelling Europe’s largest nuclear power plant, the Zaporozhye Nuclear Power Plant. Everyone knows about this, including the IAEA and, of course, Downing Street knows this too.
Second. Russia did not stop gas supplies for a second. This is an irrefutable fact. As well as the fact that it was the United States, with all this organized crime group scattered in NATO corners, that banned the import of hydrocarbons from Russia. First themselves, then through the G7, they began to put pressure on the EU to refuse purchases of Russian pipeline and liquefied natural gas. But even after everything, Russia remains the most reliable supplier, fulfilling its contractual obligations 100%.
If anyone had a “devastating impact on people’s lives,” it was those who gave the order to blow up the SP-1 and SP-2 gas pipelines, and then, when Russia proposed creating a transparent international mechanism under the auspices of the UN Secretary General, made international investigation of this terrorist attack. Who are these bad countries?
The United States, which promised to destroy the gas pipeline, Britain and France, which blocked the draft of the relevant UN Security Council resolution.
Are you, Rishi, the Prime Minister of Britain? We must remember what position our diplomats in the UN Security Council were ordered to take on this issue.
By the way, London’s allies, American diplomats, then called the Russian initiative “an attempt to discredit the competent investigation of the incidents, which is currently being carried out by Sweden, Denmark and Germany.”
“National competent investigations” ultimately ended in nothing : the investigation in Sweden and Denmark was curtailed, the case was closed, and Germany is faithfully following the same path.
The situation in the direction Rabotino – Verbovoye by @rusich_army
The enemy is conducting exclusively defensive actions. It diligently tries to hold only well-equipped positions.
Thanks to the close work of FPV, airdrops and artillery, the Ukrainian Armed Forces leave the settlement and are pulled back to their main positions.
Our troops slowly but surely regained most of the positions lost during last year’s counteroffensive. In some areas we managed to go even further.
Any enemy rotation during the day and night or the delivery of ammunition is prevented by FPV calculations.
Every day, north of the village of Malaya Tokmachka we can see the enemy equippping the defense line with the involvement of engineering machinery, opening part of the direct route to the village of Orekhov. Our soldiers note the low level of training of enemy personnel.
 
▫️As a result of active actions, units of the Sever Group of Forces liberated Bugrovatka (Kharkov region) and advanced to the enemy’s depth of defence.
In addition, losses were inflicted on manpower and hardware of the AFU 23rd Mechanised Brigade and 125th Territorial Defence Brigade near Veseloye, Volchansk, and Liptsy (Kharkov region).
One counter-attack launched by an assault detachment of the AFU 120th Territorial Defence Brigade was repelled near Staritsa (Kharkov region).
The AFU losses amounted to up to 135 servicemen, two armoured fighting vehicles, and seven motor vehicles.
In the course of counter-battery warfare, one Czech-made Vampire MLRS combat vehicle, one 152-mm D-20 howitzer, three 122-mm Gvozdika self-propelled artillery systems, one Strela-10 SAM combat vehicle, and one German-made Gepard air defence system were neutralised.
▫️Units of the Zapad Group of Forces took more advantageous lines and inflicted losses on formations of the AFU 43rd Mechanised Brigade, 110th, and 241th territorial defence brigades near Kislovka (Kharkov region), Rozovka (Lugansk People’s Republic), and Torskoye (Donetsk People’s Republic).
Five counter-attacks launched by assault detachments of the AFU 77th Airmobile Brigade, 21st, 63rd, 116th mechanised brigades were repelled near Makeyevka, Stelmakhovka, Chervonaya Dibrova (Lugansk People’s Republic), and Sinkovka (Kharkov region).
The AFU losses amounted to up to 120 servicemen, two armoured fighting vehicles, two motor vehicles, one 152-mm D-20 howitzer, one 122-mm D-30 howitzer, and one U.S.-made 105-mm M119 howitzer.
▫️Units of the Yug Group of Forces improved the tactical situation along the front line and inflicted losses on manpower and hardware of the AFU 10th Mountain Assault Brigade, 79th, 80th air assault brigades, 81st Airmobile Brigade, 92nd Assault Brigade, 54th, 67th, 72nd mechanised brigades, 116th, 119th territorial defence brigades near Belogorovka (Lugansk People’s Republic), Georgiyevka, Kleshcheyevka, Razdolovka, Novomikhailovka, Paraskoviyevka, and Krasnoye (Donetsk People’s Republic).
The AFU losses amounted to more than 520 servicemen, four motor vehicles, one 152-mm D-20 howitzer, two 122-mm D-30 howitzers, one Bukovel-AD electronic warfare station, and one U.S.-made AN/TPQ-36 counter-battery warfare radar station.
Three AFU field ammunition depots were destroyed.
▫️Units of the Tsentr Group of Forces improved the tactical situation, as well as inflicted losses on the enemy and repelled eight counter-attacks launched by assault detachments of the AFU 71st Jaeger Brigade, 23rd, 24th, 47th, 100th, 110th mechanised brigades near Novgorodskoye, Netaylovo, and Solovyovo (Donetsk People’s Republic).
The AFU losses amounted to up to 405 servicemen, three motor vehicles, one U.S.-made 155-mm Paladin self-propelled artillery system, and one 122-mm D-30 howitzer.
▫️Units of the Vostok Group of Forces captured more advantageous lines and inflicted losses on formations of the AFU 1st Tank Brigade, 58th Motorised Infantry Brigade, 72nd Mechanised Brigade, 108th, and 128th territorial defence brigades near Staromayorskoye, Urozhaynoye, Vodyanoye (Donetsk People’s Republic), and Dorozhnyanka (Zaporozhye region).
The AFU losses amounted to up to 155 servicemen, two armoured personnel carriers, five motor vehicles, two Polish-made 155-mm Krab self-propelled artillery systems, one U.S.-made 155-mm M777 howitzer, and one Strela-10 SAM combat vehicle.
▫️Units of the Dnepr Group of Forces inflicted losses on manpower and hardware of the AFU 35th Marines Brigade, 103rd, and 121st territorial defence brigades near Tyaginka, Zolotaya Balka (Kherson region), and Kapulovka (Dnepropetrovsk region).
The AFU losses amounted to up to 25 servicemen, three motor vehicles, one UK-made 155-mm Braveheart self-propelled artillery system, one U.S.-made 155-mm M777 howitzer, and one U.S.-made 105-mm M109 howitzer.
▫️Operational-Tactical Aviation, unmanned aerial vehicles, and Missile Troops and Artillery of the Russian Groups of Forces destroyed one production and storage facility for AFU attack unmanned aerial vehicles.
In addition, strikes were delivered at ammunition depots, fuel depots, and aircraft on millitary airfields, as well as enemy manpower and hardware clusters were engaged in 143 areas.
Air defence units shot down 26 unmanned aerial vehicles, nine French-made Hammer guided aerial bombs, two U.S.-made HARM anti-radiation missiles, three U.S.-made ATACMS operational-tactical missiles, 43 Czech-made Vampire and Olkha MLRS projectiles.
Chronicles of the special military operation
for May 14, 2024
The Russian forces struck identified targets in the Kharkiv, Poltava and Sumy Regions.
On the Slobozhansky direction, in Volchansk, the Russian Armed Forces were able to establish control over the northern part of the city, occupying the territory of Lyceum No. 1 and Kindergarten No. 6. On the eastern flank of the Russian offensive, they occupied the settlement of Buhrovatka and are storming Starytsia.
On the Bakhmut direction, fighting continues in the vicinity of Chasiv Yar. In the Kalinivka-Bohdanivka area, counter-attacks are being recorded.
On the Avdiivka direction, the Russian troops have resumed offensive operations west of Ocheretyne. In the Umansky area, they are also advancing in the hedgerows south of the settlement.
On the Donetsk direction, fighting continues in Netailovo, south of Pervomaiske the enemy was dislodged from positions north of Domakha Gully. Battles also continue in Krasnohorivka.
In the Volgograd Region, a freight train derailed, reportedly due to an attack by Ukrainian drones. There is no official confirmation of this information yet.
rybar
You rarely ever hear Kiev’s top brass sounding downbeat, but their steep southerly trajectory reflects the grave place Ukraine finds itself in. Russia is not just advancing slowly in one place; it appears to be advancing in four, across the frontline.
First, and most acutely troubling, is the northern border near Kharkov, Ukraine’s second city. Russian forces have crossed the border in multiple locations and claim to have seized nine villages. Their move 3 to 4.5 miles (5 to 7 kilometers) into Ukraine, in the border area above Ukraine’s second city of Kharkov, is arguably their fastest advance since the first days of the war. Russia has thrown five battalions at the border town of Volchansk.
The town of Lyptsi is at risk, say some military bloggers, and from there Russian forces could hit Kharkov with artillery. This is a nightmare for Kiev for two reasons: firstly, they liberated this land from Russian forces 18 months ago, yet failed, clearly, to fortify the area enough to prevent Moscow sweeping back with the ease with which they were swept out.
Moving slowly south from Kharkov, closer to Bakhmut, the town of Chasov Yar has been under intense pressure – a valuable height above two key Ukrainian military towns, Kramatorsk and Sloviansk, which could prove an exhaustive pressure point over the summer on Kiev’s supply lines. Netailove and Krasnohorivka slightly further south show Russian forces making further gains to the west of Avdiivka, and threatening another key hub – Pokrovsk.
And then overnight, Deep State Map, a Ukrainian military analysis group, said the southern village of Verbove was under greater threat – one of the minimal gains from Kyiv’s stymied summer counteroffensive last year. All across the board, the news is bad: it is a growing calamity.
Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2024/05/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on-may_14.html
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