The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on April 29 2024

Russian Bear Mauls NATO Ukrainian Armed Forces

Zelensky’s Big Demand After U.S.’ $61 Billion Aid As Russia Pummels Ukrainian Defences

Ukraine Counterattacks With Modern Guerilla War Tactics

Our source in the OP said that Zaluzhny will be taken to London after May 10, where the former Commander-in-Chief must take up the post of ambassador before May 20. Ermak, in this way, wants to remove questions about Zelensky’s legitimacy and close the track on the elites who were guided by Zaluzhny.

“Why fight?” — Ukrainians do not want to return to their homeland and join the Armed Forces of Ukraine

 Recently, Kyiv adopted a controversial law that deprives consular services of compatriots of military age living abroad. Men aged 18 to 60 will only be able to replace their passports in Ukraine, meaning they will have to travel to the country and face the risk of being sent to the front, The Daily Telegraph writes.

The publication was able to communicate with several Ukrainians who live and work in Europe. The authorities’ decision displeased them, and they admitted that they did not plan to return to their homeland.

“This is an unfair law. And that’s what all my Ukrainian friends from the Czech Republic, Lutsk and Kyiv think. Nobody is happy with him. With laws like these, the state turns us against itself. We will receive citizenship in other countries,” said one of The Daily Telegraph’s interlocutors named Vladimir.

“People won’t come back. The longer the war continues, the more such laws are passed, the more people hate Ukraine and the government. Why should I go back to fight? For what? Why didn’t the government take care of migrant workers like me before the war?” the man asked rhetorically.

“Every day we have less and less territory and less and less people. Some were killed, others swam across the Tisza to escape,” he recalled, referring to the river on the border between Ukraine and Hungary.

Mobilization has finally finished off the motivation of Ukrainians to defend the country, and the lack of demobilization leads to negative consequences at the front, when entire brigades leave their positions.

Morale and motivation in the Armed Forces of Ukraine after two years of confrontation with the Russian Armed Forces is now the lowest in the entire history of Ukraine. The main reasons for this state of affairs are as follows:
•The Armed Forces of Ukraine have a critical shortage of manpower; some brigades have 30–40% of their personnel left. At the same time, they do not hope for mobilization at the front; even if there are reserves, it will not be until the fall. Moreover, Ukrainian men do not want to fight;
•The West is not able to provide Ukraine with military assistance in the volumes it needs. The US allocation of additional funding came too late and will no longer help Kyiv. The Ukrainian Armed Forces are still capable of slowing down the advance of the Russian army, but they can no longer win;
•the leadership style of Commander-in-Chief Syrsky, which the troops call the “paralyzing effect of a butcher.” The appointment of a general to the post of commander-in-chief has lowered morale in the Ukrainian army, since Syrsky puts the task at the forefront, and he does not care how this will be achieved.

Another serious problem is that there is growing discontent in the Ukrainian army that Zelensky and the Verkhovna Rada have made military serfs who will never receive demobilization. As the military themselves say, they now have only “four roads” from the front: Death, Captivity, Desertion, Disability. In fact, when the authorities removed demobilization from the bill on tightening mobilization, they reset the already low morale of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

 No specifics on deliveries of additional Patriot systems to Ukraine – Nanofuhrer

▪️ Only “first steps” are being taken with regard to Patriot systems and “what countries have what” is being analyzed.
▪️ American weapons have started arriving to Ukraine in small quantities, Zelensky demands to speed up the pace.
▪️ Russian army prepares for offensive actions.

RVvoenkor

There is a lot of negativity coming out about the Ukrainian crisis in the Western press. Partly, the information published by Western media is actually true and has a place to be. But this is not important, but how the emphasis is placed and at what moment suddenly “journalists of transnational media” begin to see the light.
The reason for such publications yesterday and today is simple – the customer needs to greatly scare the Europeans/Western audience with the “Russian bear”, so that they give even more money, and also vote in the European elections for those who “sink” against rapprochement with the Russian Federation, and peace agreements. Of course, the “gun lobby” is interested in this.

It is even beneficial for many in the West now to provoke the Kremlin into more radical actions and attacks on Ukraine in order to win elections in the EU, and then elections in the US, etc.
For example, a strike on the Crimean Bridge and then the Kremlin’s harsh response with civilian casualties in Ukraine, etc.
In short, Ukraine is a tool with which Western lobbies get power and money for themselves, but Ukrainians pay the bill with their lives and futures.

We are watching.

The Ukrainian channel Legitimny tried to simulate what awaits Ukraine if it decides to attack the Crimean Bridge

Firstly, Legitimny believes, possible damage to the Crimean Bridge will be repaired fairly quickly by Russia.

But it is necessary to spend almost all the long-range missiles transferred by partners. And then, this will put the bridge out of action for 2-3 months. This, of course, will partially disrupt the holiday season in Crimea, but will not affect the course of hostilities in any way. It will just be a loud and expensive PR campaign. Ukraine will spend a lot of resources, but will receive minimal profit; in the long run this will turn out to be a huge problem and another miscalculation of the OP,
- writes the channel.

But secondly, the consequences for Ukraine will be much more serious.

More likely:

Ukraine will be cut off by 70% of all electricity and distribution stations will be constantly hit.

Ukraine will be deprived of its gas trump card. Most likely, the UGC will somehow be disabled.

The infrastructure of railways and bridges will be more severely destroyed. Perhaps the bridges will be hit with something very large and powerful, in order to immediately “topple” them with one blow.

They will start hitting the ports hard again.

Overall: life in Ukraine will become even worse and more difficult for the population. The Ukrainian authorities know this, but they carry out the instructions of those who pay for this “holiday” and pay office fees for this “cinema”.

Take care of yourself! For the authorities, you are just a tool for PR and making money,
The Ukrainian telegram channel addresses its audience.

SLG addition – One should keep in mind that after Zelensky official expiration of mandate, he can be seen as illegal entity, same as decisions he made, which will, in turn, open the possibility for the Russia to go harder on, what it may consider as a representatives of ilegitimate power. Statements of some of Russian high ranking officials indicate this potential development.

The United States suspect that the Russian Armed Forces were trying to disrupt the supply of American weapons to Ukraine

According to Bloomberg, this is evidenced by the change in the number of missile and drone attacks, as well as the fact that strikes are increasingly focusing on military installations and logistics.

“The Russian military is rapidly moving forward in the eastern direction, while exhausted Ukrainian troops wait for desperately needed American weapons,” the article says.

Experts interviewed admit that Russian forces could capture Chasov Yar even before the arrival of American aid, which, according to White House National Security Council spokesman John Kirby, will arrive “very, very soon.”

This, they note, will allow Russia to launch offensive operations against cities that form a “significant Ukrainian defensive belt” in the Donetsk direction.
 

The Russian armed forces struck a major railroad hub in the settlement of Borovaya, the Kharkov region, where Ukrainian forces were distributing servicemen, equipment, and ammunition to the frontlines, Sergei Lebedev, the coordinator of the Nikolayev underground, told Sputnik, citing his colleagues.

Our source reports that the Western lobby delivered an unspoken ultimatum to Zelensky that if Commander-in-Chief Syrsky cannot correct the situation at the front (stabilize), then he will need to resign.
The army considers Syrsky not “lucky”, since with his arrival the Ukrainian Armed Forces only retreat and suffer huge losses.

The source reports that Commander-in-Chief Syrsky threw all his strength into holding Chasov Yar at any cost, since it has high-rise buildings that somehow protect the infantry. After the Hours of Yar, the Russians can quickly approach Konstantinovka and even Druzhkovka, since the Russian Armed Forces have now learned to take villages quickly.

We wrote that now the Ukrainian Armed Forces are fighting 90% with infantry, and urban areas are used as free defensive structures. That’s why Chasov Yar is so important and that’s why they make another meat grinder out of it.

Our source in the General Staff said that the Ukrainian Armed Forces will be able to hold Chasov Yar for a maximum of a month, and then the situation will be like in Bakhmut/Avdeevka. The loss of the city would be the biggest blow for Syrsky, who was responsible for this sector of defense and then the counteroffensive. The military at the front are tired of the senseless decisions of the command, which is why entire brigades are leaving their positions.

In Odessa, over the coast (health route), air defense shot down a Russian Iskander-class missile. Photos of the rocket’s remains are published on social networks.
Kivalov’s house (a castle that belongs to the law academy) caught fire.

There was also an arrival somewhere outside the city (one of the two missiles was shot down). Ambulances and military vehicles rush around the city.
Iskanders hit important, quickly identified targets.

2 civilians and a dog were killed when rocket fragments fell on them. Another 6 people were injured.

We have always written about the problem of air defense in urban agglomerations.
Such cases will be constant. Don’t ignore anxiety.

This is definitely a tragedy. The war will bring a lot of grief and destruction. 

Former people’s deputy Sergei Kivalov also received shrapnel wounds to his right thigh .

He was taken away by ambulance.
According to rumors, he immediately went to a private clinic.
Why say “elite”.

Once again, we remind you not to ignore alarms, since the most dangerous thing for civilians is downed missiles over the city, which bring tragedy and casualties with them.

Bakhmut direction of a column of several Russian tanks with a continuous protective structure made of metal sheets, photographs of which have been seen more than once, as well as other armored vehicles.

As the enemy notes, only one protected tank was knocked out of the column, at the expense of a large number of FPV drones .

The enemy publishes footage of an offensive in the Bakhmut direction of a column of several Russian tanks with a continuous protective structure made of metal sheets, photographs of which have been seen more than once, as well as other armored vehicles.

As the enemy notes, only one protected tank was knocked out of the column, at the expense of a large number of FPV drones .

Military Informant

Avdiivka direction: Advance of the Russian Armed Forces in Ocheretyne
Situation as of 2:00 PM on April 29, 2024

In recent days, Russian forces have been systematically developing their success north of Avdiivka.

▪️The situation in Ocheretyne is gradually becoming clearer: according to new footage (https://t.me/creamy_caprice/5292), the Russian Armed Forces have advanced almost 1.5 kilometers to the west, including taking control of the territory of the “Altkom” brick factory.

▪️On the eastern outskirts of the settlement, fighting is ongoing in the area of the kindergarten, where the enemy’s activity is still preserved. Ukrainian formations are also holding defense in five-story buildings, where they have equipped firing positions.

▪️At the same time, the assault on the remaining AFU positions in Soloviovo is being completed, after which Russian troops will likely advance both westward towards the village of Sokol and southward towards the line of Novopokrovske – Novosilka Persha.

rybar

Under pressure from the Russian Armed Forces, the enemy is forced to retreat to the western part of Netailovo.

After the capture of Pervomaisky by our troops, the enemy retreated to the village of Netailovo.

Our army not only entered Netailovo, but also advanced within the village to a depth of at least 700 m.

The enemy is forced to withdraw with losses to the west of Netaylovsky Pond, which connects to the Karlovsky Reservoir, which is of strategic importance from the point of view of providing Donbass with water.

Netailovo and Karlovka, located to the west, are located in the lowlands.

Advancement to Netailovo does not allow the enemy to build a reliable line of defense east of the mentioned Karlovskoye Reservoir. In this regard, there is a high probability that Syrsky’s troops will have to flee to the western bank of this reservoir, where there are heights, in the near future.

During the night we advanced another 400-450 m, emerging west of the road connecting Netailovo with Umansky located to the north. Now the enemy garrison was cut into pieces.

Operational Avdeevskoe direction. Umanskoe

It is reported that last night a combined strike was carried out on enemy positions in the area of ​​the settlement. Umanskoe.

Reportedly, the strike was carried out by our troops extremely quickly, catching the enemy by surprise.
First, the drones worked, and fire was opened on them from enemy air defense systems.
Then our FPV drones hit the mobile air defense systems.
After clearing the positions, our tactical aviation worked.
Demonstrative work on the interaction of various units and branches of the military.

“🅾️” grouping liberated Semenovka in battles near Avdeevka – Defense Ministry

The main thing about the battles on this section of the front for a day:

 - Formations of the 68th Infantry Brigade, 23rd, 115th Mechanized Brigades of the AFU, the 109th Tero Brigade and mercenaries of the “Foreign Legion” were defeated in the areas of Novoalexandrovka, Arkhangelskoye, Tarasovka and Zavetnoye of the DNR.

 - 10 counterattacks by assault groups of the 24th, 100th Mechanized, 142nd Infantry, 98th Assault, 68th Yeager Brigades and the 78th Independent Airborne Assault Regiment of the AFU were repelled in the areas of the towns of Leninskoye, Novgorodskoye, Ocheretino, Semyonovka, Novobakhmutovka, Netailovo, Novokalinovo and Berdychi of the DNR.

 - Up to 370 militants, two APCs and four vehicles were destroyed.

 - In the course of counter-battery combat, the following were hit: a 155 mm M777 howitzer (USA), a 152 mm D-20 gun, a 152 mm MSTA-B towed howitzer, two 122 mm D-30 howitzers, a 105 mm M102 light howitzer (USA), and a 100 mm MT-12 Rapira anti-tank gun.

Having taken height 245, the Russian Armed Forces advanced approximately 2 km northwest of Ocheretino – in the direction of Novoaleksandrovka.

Having previously taken control of the key height – 245 – in the north of the settlement, Russian troops “see off” the Ukrainian Armed Forces with artillery strikes. At the same time, the enemy does not have the opportunity to hide on the ground up to the village of Novoaleksandrovka. The retreat takes place across fields where it is almost impossible to hide from artillery attacks.

According to data on the morning of April 29, Russian troops advanced north-west of Ocheretino to a depth of up to two kilometers with a front width of about 1200 m. That is, about another 2.5 square meters were liberated. km of territory. There is a systematic approach to the next settlement – the mentioned Novoaleksandrovka.

There is a high probability that the 110th 115th brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, as well as some Territorial Defence battalions, may be disbanded after the events near Ocheretino and the collapse of the defense beyond Keramik in the DPR.

It is not yet clear which units will be transferred to the Donetsk direction to replace them: the command of the operational strategic group “Khortitsa” is in no hurry to maneuver troops and it is difficult to do this without damage to other directions.

Similar problems are growing in the 47th Mechanized Infantry Brigade “Magura”, the command and personnel of which require rotation after a year of being on the front line and heavy losses.

Similar processes are recorded in the 41st and 42nd brigades of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, squeezed under Chasov Yar without heavy weapons.

To “stabilize the situation”, GUR units were introduced there, which essentially act as police and barrier detachments at the same time.

There has, perhaps, not been such tension in the management of the Ukrainian army since the very beginning of hostilities.

MChronicles

Donetsk direction: success of Russian forces on the eastern flank and fighting in the center of Krasnohorivka
situation as of 5:00 pm on April 29, 2024

Russian forces continue to advance in the areas east of Donetsk, achieving further success in Krasnohorivka during the recent battles.

▪️According to the footage published online, the Russian Armed Forces advanced along the industrial zone on the western outskirts: a column of equipment with electronic warfare means and “mangals” – welded armor plates – reached Gogol Street and landed troops. (https://t.me/boris_rozhin/121864)

This is at least the third successful such sortie in this area. Notably, there is almost a complete lack of videos of Russian equipment being destroyed by FPV drones in this area: this may indirectly indicate the effectiveness of these technical solutions and tactical methods.

▪️In the center, Russian troops managed to reach the “Bolshoy Alyans” gas station at the intersection of Geologicheskaya and Tsentralnaya Streets, where assault groups came under fire from the AFU. The enemy attempted a counterattack, but retreated under artillery fire.

▪️On the eastern outskirts of Krasnohorivka, the Russian Armed Forces advanced more than a kilometer and a half from the direction of Staromikhailivka and established control over the hunting lodge (https://t.me/creamy_caprice/5293) (also known as the “Minich House”). In the approaches to it, the enemy had built a system of strongpoints with many trenches over 10 years, turning the area into a fortified region.

❗️The front line had been here since 2014, and it had not been possible to advance here before. However, after the breakthrough on the southern outskirts of Krasnohorivka and the capture of the Nevelskoye (https://t.me/rybar/58105) high ground, the way to the “Minich House” was opened: at the moment, Russian assault groups are consolidating in the area and preparing to move further west

The Russian Army knocked out the Ukrainian Armed Forces from most of Rabotino, raising a flag on the northern outskirts!

▫️On the Zaporozhye front, the 71st regiment raised the banner on the northern outskirts of Rabotino. In the video, Ukrainian Armed Forces militants are fleeing.
Ukrainian military analysts also geolocated footage from the video:

“Judging by the footage, the Russians captured most of the village of Rabotino, which was taken during the summer counter-offensive of the Ukrainian Armed Forces. They hung their flag on a building in the northern part of the village,” enemy resources write.

▫️The 70th, 71st and 291st regiments, the 136th brigade and the 76th airborne division, with the support of aviation, carried out a powerful offensive operation, knocking out the Ukrainian Armed Forces militants from positions in and around the settlement.

On the Tabaevsky ledge in the Kharkov region, our troops broke through the defenses and came close to the Peschanoye.

So far, it’s a rather small advancement in general, but implies either the announcement of creation of second front, or at least to force the AFU to spread out even more, and burn troops. All in all, good call to activate this direction, because, creating more hot spots will definitely will be a problem for depleted enemy.

Chronicles of the special military operation
for April 29, 2024

Over the past day, Russian forces have delivered several strikes on enemy targets, including the Myrhorod airfield in Poltava Region. In Odesa, as a result of intercepting a missile, the building of the Odesa Law Academy student palace was partially burned down.

In the Kupiansk-Svatove direction, fighting continues in the vicinity of Kyslivka, with half of the village under firm control of the Russian Armed Forces. At the same time, the enemy has begun a gradual withdrawal of forces from the neighboring Kotliarivka, fearing encirclement.

On the Bakhmut direction, positional battles are ongoing on the eastern outskirts of Chasiv Yar. To the south, there are ongoing clashes in the area of Krasne, as well as on the section of the T-05-04 highway leading to Kostyantynivka.

On the Avdiivka direction, the Russian Armed Forces have made significant advances in the western part of Ocheretyne, taking control of the territory of the “Altkom” brick factory. On the northeastern outskirts, there are battles in the residential area. Simultaneously, the assault on the AFU positions on the western outskirts of Solovyovo is being completed.

On the Donetsk direction, Russian troops are advancing in Krasnohorivka from several directions. In the center, the Russian Armed Forces have entrenched at the intersection of Heolohichna and Tsentralna streets, and in the east, assault groups have advanced more than a kilometer and occupied a major AFU fortified area.

rybar

RF advances in Kyslivka-Tabaivka | Ukrainians captured an island [29 April 2024]

New Russian Kupyansk Offensive | Central Kyslivka Captured

RUSSIA EXPANDS control at KYSLIVKA and STORMS deep into NETAILOVE – Frontline Changes Report

[ SITREP ] CHAOS AT AVDIIVKA FRONT! New Offensive? When will new Fronts happen?- Ukraine War Summary

Russian Defence Ministry report on the progress of the special military operation (29 April 2024)

▫️ The units of the Zapad Group of Forces (https://t.me/mod_russia/38062) have occupied more favourable lines and defeated manpower and hardware of 63rd mechanised and 57th motorised infantry brigades of the AFU and the 5th Brigade of the National Guard close to Grigorovka (Donetsk People’s Republic), Sinkovka (Kharkov region), and Chervonaya Dibrova (Lugansk People’s Republic).

Russian troops have repelled three attacks by formations of the 77th Airmobile Brigade of the AFU and the 1st Brigade of the National Guard near Stelmakhovka (Lugansk People’s Republic). The enemy losses were up to 40 servicemen, two armoured fighting vehicles, and three motor vehicles.

▫️ The units of the Yug Group of Forces (https://t.me/mod_russia/38062) have improved position along the front line and inflicted a fire defeat on manpower and hardware of 46th airmobile and 79th air assault brigades of the AFU close to Krasnogorovka and Konstantinovka (Donetsk People’s Republic).

The enemy losses were up to 395 servicemen, three tanks, four armoured fighting vehicles, two motor vehicles, one U.S.-made 155-mm M198 howitzer, one 122-mm D-30 gun, and one Bukovel-AD electronic warfare station.

▫️ The units of the Tsentr Group of Forces (https://t.me/mod_russia/38062) have liberated Semyonovka (Donetsk People’s Republic) and defeated formations of 68th infantry, 23rd and 115th mechanised brigades of the AFU, the 109th Territorial Defence Brigade and mercenaries of the Foreign Legion near Novoaleksandrovka, Arkhangelskoye, Tarasovka, and Zavetnoye (Donetsk People’s Republic).

During the day, 10 counterattacks by assault groups of 24th, 100th mechanised, 142nd infantry, 98th assault, 68th jaeger brigades and the 78th Separate Air Assault Regiment of the AFU have been repelled close to Leninskoye, Novgorodskoye, Ocheretino, Semyonovka, Novobakhmutovka, Netailovo, Novokalinovo, and Berdychi (Donetsk People’s Republic).

The AFU losses were up to 370 servicemen, two armoured personnel carriers, and four motor vehicles.

In the course of counter-battery warfare, one 155-mm U.S.-made M777 howitzer, one 152-mm D-20 gun, one 152-mm Msta-B towed howitzer, two 122-mm D-30 howitzers, one 105-mm U.S.-made M102 light howitzer, and one 100-mm MT-12 Rapira anti-tank gun.

▫️ The units of the Vostok Group of Forces (https://t.me/mod_russia/38062) have defeated manpower and hardware of the 72nd Mechanised Brigade and the 123rd Territorial Defence Brigade near Staromayorskoye and Vodyanoye (Donetsk People’s Republic) and occupied more advantageous lines.

In addition, RF Forces have repelled two counterattacks by assault groups of the 58th Motorised Infantry Brigade of the AFU near Urozhaynoye (Donetsk People’s Republic). The AFU losses were up to 125 servicemen, three pickup trucks, one 155-mm U.S.-made M777 howitzer, and two 152-mm Msta-B howitzers.

▫️ The units of the Dnepr Group of Forces (https://t.me/mod_russia/38062) have inflicted a fire defeat on manpower concentration areas of the 118th Mechanised Brigade of the AFU and the 3rd National Guard Brigade near Stepnogorsk and Preobrazhenka (Zaporozhye region). The enemy losses were up to 45 servicemen, two motor vehicles, and one Anklav-N electronic warfare station.

Operational-Tactical Aviation, Missile Troops and Artillery of the Russian Group of Forces have struck one workshop for the assembly of unmanned aerial vehicles, as well as enemy manpower and military hardware in 110 areas.

▫️ Air defence facilities have shot down 22 Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicles, one Uragan multiple-launch rocket system launcher projectile, and one U.S.-made JDAM guided aerial bomb.